Here’s a preview of the 2024 season projections for the selected quarterbacks, focusing on their season passing yards and their outlook: All projections available on the iBET Networks site, in a pick format More/Less.
Patrick Mahomes (KC) – 4350.5 SZN Pass Yards
Outlook: Mahomes continues to be the top quarterback in the NFL with a high-octane Chiefs offense that thrives on his arm strength and playmaking ability. With elite weapons like Travis Kelce and emerging young talent, Mahomes can surpass this yardage comfortably as he leads one of the league’s most explosive offenses.
Jalen Hurts (PHI) – 3600.5 SZN Pass Yards
Outlook: Hurts has shown significant growth as a passer, and while his rushing ability adds to his fantasy value, this yardage projection is reasonable given the Eagles’ balanced offensive approach. The addition of Saquon Barkley a pass catching threat out of the backfield and the continued development of A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith should help Hurts approach or exceed this projection.
Anthony Richardson (IND) – 3200.5 SZN Pass Yards
Outlook: Richardson is an exciting prospect with a strong arm and athleticism, but his year 2 could be a rollercoaster as he returns from season ending surgery last year. The Colts are likely to emphasize the run game, which could limit his passing yardage, making this projection a challenging target for him to exceed.
Caleb Williams (CHI) – 3500.5 SZN Pass Yards
Outlook: As the most highly touted rookie quarterback, Williams enters the NFL with high expectations. The Bears will likely give him ample opportunity to throw, especially with a revamped receiving corps, featuring new additions Keenan Allen and rookie Rome Odunze. If he adapts quickly, this projection is within reach, though rookie struggles could make it challenging. One interesting stat is the Caleb must get the ball out of his hands he was sacked 80 times in 2 years at USC.
Derek Carr (NO) – 3450.5 SZN Pass Yards
Outlook: Carr enters a stable situation in New Orleans with solid offensive weapons like Chris Olave and Michael Thomas. Given his history of consistent production, this yardage mark is achievable, though the Saints’ commitment to the run game could keep his passing numbers in check.
Joe Burrow (CIN) – 4000.5 SZN Pass Yards
Outlook: Burrow has been a prolific passer, and with a talented group of receivers led by Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase, this projection seems reasonable. However, any injuries to key players or a more balanced offensive approach could slightly hinder his total yardage. The holdout of Ja’Marr Chase is definitely a concern heading into the season.
Josh Allen (BUF) – 3750.5 SZN Pass Yards
Outlook: Allen’s dual-threat ability and Buffalo’s pass-heavy offense make this a conservative projection. However, how the Bills replace top WR Stefon Diggs and WR Gabe Davis is a primary concern in 2024. Assuming health and continuity with a new receiving group, Allen’s projection is in reach, especially with his ability to extend plays and throw deep.
Kirk Cousins (ATL) – 4000.5 SZN Pass Yards
Outlook: Cousins has been consistently productive in Minnesota, and a change of scenery in Atlanta could rejuvenate his career. With quality weapons like Drake London and Kyle Pitts, this projection is attainable, though much will depend on Atlanta’s offensive philosophy and how Cousins responds from offseason Achilles surgery.
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) – 4100.5 SZN Pass Yards
Outlook: Tua’s health will be the biggest factor in hitting this projection. When healthy, he’s shown the ability to distribute the ball effectively in Miami’s offense, which features speedsters Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. If he stays on the field, this yardage is within reach.
Daniel Jones (NYG) – 2675.5 SZN Pass Yards
Outlook: This low projection reflects Jones’ struggles with consistency and the Giants’ run-heavy approach. While Jones has shown flashes of potential, it’s likely that New York’s offense will rely more on Devin Singletary, making this a realistic but conservative estimate. The addition of rookie WR Malik Nabers will help but the exit of Saquon Barkley will be felt.
Geno Smith (SEA) – 3450.5 SZN Pass Yards
Outlook: After a surprisingly strong 2023 season, Geno Smith will look to build on that success. With a solid supporting cast led by DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, this projection is attainable, though Seattle’s emphasis on the run game could limit his overall passing yardage.
Baker Mayfield (TB) – 3650.5 SZN Pass Yards
Outlook: Mayfield finished the 2023 season with 3,600+ passing yards. While this yardage is respectable, it was accompanied by issues with turnovers and accuracy. Mayfield has been inconsistent throughout his career, and while Tampa Bay has weapons like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, this projection might be optimistic.
Deshaun Watson (CLE) – 3300.5 SZN Pass Yards
Outlook: Watson has had problems staying healthy, injured last season Joe Flacco stepped in to lead the Browns to the playoffs. Cleveland has plenty of talent with WR Amari Cooper and TE David Njoku and new addition WR Jerry Jeudy, but a balanced offense could limit his ceiling, and injury concerns and overall desire remain concerns here.
Jared Goff (DET) – 4050.5 SZN Pass Yards
Outlook: Goff quietly had a strong season in 2023, and with a young, improving offense around him, he has a good chance to hit this projection. The Lions’ focus on the passing game should provide Goff with plenty of opportunities to rack up yards.
Brock Purdy (SF) – 3900.5 SZN Pass Yards
Outlook: Purdy exceeded expectations last season, but this projection is ambitious given San Francisco’s run-heavy approach and the presence of multiple playmakers. However, if he continues to develop, he could challenge this number. The Brandon Aiyuk holdout has become a major concern for the 49ers and his impact will be felt if not on the field.
